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MEGATHREAD - Post-war Armenia

Here are the major announcements made after signing of the agreement.

Pashinyan's first Facebook video.
Dear compatriots, sisters and brothers. I have made an extremely difficult decision for myself and for all of us. I have signed a statement with the Presidents of Russia and Azerbaijan on ending the Karabakh war at 01:00. The text of the statement that has already been published is unspeakably painful for me personally and for our people.
I made that decision as a result of an in-depth analysis of the military situation and the assessment of the people who know the situation best. Also based on the belief that this is the best possible solution to the current situation. I will give a detailed message about all this in the coming days.
This is not a victory, but there is no defeat until you recognize yourself as being defeated. We will never recognize ourselves as being defeated and this should be the beginning of our era of national unification and rebirth. We need to analyze the years of our independence in order to plan our future and not repeat the mistakes of the past.
I kneel before all our martyrs. I bow to all our soldiers, officers, generals, volunteers who have defended and are defending the homeland with their lives. They selflessly saved the Artsakh population. We fought to the end. And we will win. Artsakh is standing.
Long live Armenia. Long live Artsakh.
 
Artsakh President Arayik Harutyunyan:
Dear Compatriots. All day we have been discussing with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan our actions to stop the hostilities. I held discussions beforehand with the Artsakh Parliament and received their overwhelming approval.
Given the current dire situation, in order to avoid further heavy casualties and the complete loss of Artsakh, I agreed to end the war an hour earlier. As for the signed trilateral statement, I will talk about it in detail later.
I extend my deepest condolences and pride to the relatives of our martyrs and to all the people. We will still have time to have a dialogue with the relatives of the fallen heroes and our military about what to do. I pay tribute to all the people who made even a small contribution to the hard work of defending the Homeland.
 
What exactly is the agreement about?
Karabakh used to be much smaller in the 1980s. Azerbaijan tried to invade it but failed. Armenians captured 7 adjacent territories as a buffer zone. Today's agreement returns those territories to Azerbaijan, plus some (still unclear). Just as in the 1980s, Karabakh doesn't officially get de-jure independence but Armenians get to continue to live there.
Official text of the document from http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/64384
Statement by President of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia and President of the Russian Federation
November 10, 202011:45
We, President of the Republic of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan and President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, state the following:
1. A complete ceasefire and termination of all hostilities in the area of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is declared starting 12:00 am (midnight) Moscow time on November 10, 2020. The Republic of Azerbaijan and the Republic of Armenia, hereinafter referred to as the “Parties,” shall stop in their current positions.
2. The Agdam District shall be returned to the Republic of Azerbaijan by November 20, 2020.
3. The peacemaking forces of the Russian Federation, namely, 1,960 troops armed with firearms, 90 armoured vehicles and 380 motor vehicles and units of special equipment, shall be deployed along the contact line in Nagorno-Karabakh and along the Lachin Corridor.
4. The peacemaking forces of the Russian Federation shall be deployed concurrently with the withdrawal of the Armenian troops. The peacemaking forces of the Russian Federation will be deployed for five years, a term to be automatically extended for subsequent five-year terms unless either Party notifies about its intention to terminate this clause six months before the expiration of the current term.
5. For more efficient monitoring of the Parties’ fulfilment of the agreements, a peacemaking centre shall be established to oversee the ceasefire.
6. The Republic of Armenia shall return the Kalbajar District to the Republic of Azerbaijan by November 15, 2020, and the Lachin District by December 1, 2020. The Lachin Corridor (5 km wide), which will provide a connection between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia while not passing through the territory of Shusha, shall remain under the control of the Russian Federation peacemaking forces.
As agreed by the Parties, within the next three years, a plan will be outlined for the construction of a new route via the Lachin Corridor, to provide a connection between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia, and the Russian peacemaking forces shall be subsequently relocated to protect the route.
The Republic of Azerbaijan shall guarantee the security of persons, vehicles and cargo moving along the Lachin Corridor in both directions.
7. Internally displaced persons and refugees shall return to the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and adjacent areas under the supervision of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees.
8. The Parties shall exchange prisoners of war, hostages and other detained persons, and dead bodies.
9. All economic and transport connections in the region shall be unblocked. The Republic of Armenia shall guarantee the security of transport connections between the western regions of the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic in order to arrange unobstructed movement of persons, vehicles and cargo in both directions. The Border Guard Service of the Russian Federal Security Service shall be responsible for overseeing the transport connections.
As agreed by the Parties, new transport links shall be built to connect the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic and the western regions of Azerbaijan.
 
Vladimir Putin
"This creates conditions for a long-term peace agreement. An agreement that is fair to Armenians and Azeris."
 
Pashinyan's second Facebook Live, after the riots in the government building.
Right now I can't say a lot while the ceasefire is being established in order not to endanger peoples' lives. If I say a few things, it will become clear for many of you about what had been happening in the past month.
Today, those who are breaking the government building windows, are stubbing our soldiers from behind. One of the opposition politicians who demands my resignation, who is a General, routed from his Shosh positions on Sunday and returned to Armenia. Today he claims "we stand with the army."
I'm convinced that many of the angry protesters have good intentions and are honest. There are many of them. Some of them are families of fallen soldiers. I bow to them.
Today I was briefed that among the [riot provokers] there were groups of oligarchs. These are the people who stole from the soldier for 20 years, who stole from the army for 20 years, who paid no taxes for 20 years. Today they speak about "treason".
What business do they have in Yerevan? Haven't they heard the calls by the Artsakh president to come to an aid? What are they doing in Yerevan with a camouflage outfit? Now is the right opportunity for them to defend what they plundered, apparently.
Do you know why the rioters were able to freely break into the government building? Because every policeman and riot police are defending the front lines. My son is also in the front lines, and so is my wife. And I'm proud of that.
I understand that you expect substantive and detailed explanations. But why can't I give it to you right now? because there is a problem with information dissonance, every sentence during martial law and war has an impact on activities on front lines. The Facebook posts reach the front lines and the enemy positions very quickly. That's why I can't reveal many details today.
But I want you to understand one thing. The decision [agreement] was made by analyzing the military situation and consulting with experts who know the situation the best. Our glorious army fought against terrorists, NATO's second army, and Azerbaijan.
Why couldn't we sign a better agreement? Because for 25 years we [refers to the former regime] made toasts for our soldiers and drank from bottles while knowing that the bottles were purchased with money stolen from the same soldier. We gave soldiers leftover food and weapons from 1980s while hoping all along that a war would not happen by stretching the negotiations just a bit longer.
Okay. You hoped there wouldn't be a war for 5,6, 15 years. But for how long? It would have to happen sooner or later. And I learned about its inevitability when I became PM and familiarized myself with what I inherited on the negotiating table. There was no longer an option to delay things. All options were exhausted.
And I did what I could do prepare us for the past 2.5 years. Our army has been fighting with honor for 44 days. I kneel before all martyrs and their families. I apologize to them for not being able to do better. The agreement was signed not only based on the current situation but also on what could happen if the war continued.
Don't fall for the actions of the hooligans, some of whom have felony cases against them and have stolen 80 billion. That stolen money is more than what All Armenia Fund has collected. That money could have been used for weapons, technology, drone, science, etc. And today these oligarchs incite riots so they can restore their right to plunder.
I admit that we haven't been able to recover enough stolen funds in the past 2.5 years because we tried to act legally.
I regret being unable to give you more details about the agreement because the situation is still unstable on the front lines. We cannot cause harm right now. I understand your emotions but we'll have an opportunity to speak in more detail. No one will escape justice, including me, if I'm guilty.
I urge all Armenians not to fall for provocations. More details will be given next week. I want you to know that I and the whole governmental apparatus did everything possible to avoid this outcome. Why did we fail? We will discuss that in detail and reveal the context soon.
All the organizers of today's riots will be held accountable. We cannot allow chaos. Some of them went to a front line briefly, took a Facebook photo, then escaped and came back when the battles began. Don't join them.
I serve all of you. Have no doubt that I acted in your best interest all along.
 
Sometime during this time, the rioters heavily beat up Pashinyan's teammate and the third guy in command, the Speaker of the Parliament Ararat Mirzoyan.
Soldiers from Artsakh release a message urging for rioters to go home.
 
Pashinyan: to all the citizens who are not affiliated with the violent rioters, please go home. To anyone who believes us and me, please prepare for a struggle. Have no doubt that there was no conspiracy against you. In these difficult times, we must stand together against the thieves and plunderers.
[the beaten] Ararat Mirzoyan is the type of man who accepted the agreement with tears in his eyes. Everyone in our team did. And some animals attack Mirzoyan and his child? An animal who probably couldn't beat anyone without repercussions for 2 years so they found an opportunity. They won't get away with this.
To anyone who understands what's happening, I call for you to prepare for revenge. Yes, we didn't deal properly with these corrupt oligarchs in time. All those HHK, BHK thieves, that traitor who left the position and routed.
Who is breaking into the govt building today? The [lists ex-oligarchs] who plundered and now they think their time has arrived? They are wrong. It's the time for citizen's revenge. Do the traitors think they can leave the burden of them selling the country on us? Not a chance.
We will go after the riot organizers, one by one. We'll go after specifically the corrupt segment of ARF (Dashnaks), too. We will organize a rally soon. And those who sold the country for money, those who think they can slip away under this chaos, are mistaken. Your mansions will be returned to people. We wrote a new asset forfeiture law that went into effect in September.
If you're against the criminal bandits, speak up. We have governors who are protecting borders while suffering from pneumonia and COVID, while today's chubby rioters weren't going there to substitute them. This is the story.
Donations for refugees and rebuilding
https://www.armeniafund.org <-- tax exempt for US citizens
https://himnadram.org/en
https://www.1000plus.am/en/payment
Link to previous mega thread: ceasefire signing megathread
submitted by ModeratorsOfArmenia to armenia

Lost in the Sauce: Barr's DOJ shut down investigations of Trump and admin officials

Welcome to Lost in the Sauce, keeping you caught up on political and legal news that often gets buried in distractions and theater… or a global health crisis.
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  • HOW TO SUPPORT: I know we are all facing unprecedented financial hardships right now. If you are in the position to support my work, I have a patreon, venmo, and a paypal set up. No pressure though, I will keep posting these pieces publicly no matter what - paywalls suck.
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Post-election

On Saturday, Trump announced on Twitter that he has put his personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani in charge of his campaign's long-shot post-election legal challenges. Other people on the team include Joseph diGenova, Victoria Toensing, Sidney Powell, and Jenna Ellis.
  • Giuliani worked with a Russian agent to smear Biden. diGenova and Toensing tried to get the Justice Department to drop charges against corrupt Ukraine oligarch Dmytro Firtash. Powell represents Michael Flynn and champions "deep state" conspiracies. Ellis said gay marriage leads to pedophilia.
NYT: Mr. Trump turned to Mr. Giuliani earlier on Friday in reaction to the latest setback he faced in court, this one relating to votes in Maricopa County, Arizona… A half-dozen other Trump advisers have described Mr. Giuliani’s efforts as counterproductive and said that he was giving the president unwarranted optimism about what could happen… In an Oval Office meeting with aides on Thursday, Mr. Trump put Mr. Giuliani on speakerphone so the others could hear him. He angrily accused the aides of not telling the president the truth
Giuliani’s conspiracy-riddled rant at Four Seasons Total Landscaping was so disastrous that it “scared off many of the lawyers” recruited to argue election-related lawsuits. Politico: “Campaign officials described the episode as disastrous...there are widespread concerns within Trumpworld and GOP circles that Giuliani’s antics are thwarting the president’s legal machinery from within.”
Two major law firms have withdrawn from Trump campaign cases as his legal challenges crumble. Arizona’s largest law firm Snell & Wilmer dumped the RNC and Trump campaign effort to challenge votes in Maricopa County. Porter Wright Morris & Arthur is abandoning Trump’s attempt to block Pennsylvania's popular vote for Joe Biden.
  • In one day (Friday), nine cases meant to attack President-elect Joe Biden's win in key states were denied or dropped - seven in Pennsylvania, one in Arizona, and one in Michigan.
The new federal chief information security officer, Camilo Sandoval, has already taken leave from his day job to participate in a pro-Trump effort to hunt for evidence of voter fraud in the battleground states. The group, Voter Integrity Fund, is a newly formed Virginia-based group that is analyzing ballot data and cold-calling voters. Sandoval was officially appointed on Nov. 4, 2020, but lists his starting date at October on his personal LinkedIn page.
WaPo: Sandoval is part of a hastily convened team led by Matthew Braynard, a data specialist who worked on Trump’s 2016 campaign. Another participant is Thomas Baptiste, an adviser to the deputy secretary of the Interior Department who also took a leave to work on the project. Braynard said in an interview that several other government officials on leave are also assisting the effort, but he declined to identify them.
Media’s role:
  • Facebook Cut Traffic To Leading Liberal Pages Just Before The Election: Liberal page administrators who spoke with BuzzFeed News said that their reach declined by as much as 70%, and still hasn’t recovered.
  • Facebook Live Spread Election Conspiracies And Russian State-Controlled Content Despite Employee Fears: The social network’s live video tool has recommended videos featuring misinformation and the hyperpartisan views of Trump allies leading up to and following election day in the US.
  • In the week after the election, Trump’s postings dominated Facebook, accounting for the 10 most engaged status updates in the United States, and 22 of the top 25. “I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT!” was his top post.
  • YouTube Is Doing Very Little to Stop Election Misinformation From Spreading
  • Social media app Parler receives financial backing from conservative hedge-fund investor Robert Mercer and his daughter Rebekah, The Wall Street Journal reported. Parler turned into a kind of de facto home for conservatives’ protests against the election— including the persistent “Stop the Steal” campaign— after the race was called for former Vice President Joe Biden. Several high-profile conservative social media personalities encouraged people to abandon Twitter and Facebook because of their moderation policies, and instead follow them on Parler.

Transition

Emily Murphy, the head of the General Services Administration, still hasn’t signed the official letter that would allow the incoming Biden team to formally begin the transition. House Democrats are assessing options to force the GSA’s hand, which could include summoning Murphy to the Hill to testify or suing her. “Obviously, Congress could file suit against the GSA administrator for failing to do her duty. We could seek to get a court to, in fact, issue an order
Her ascertainment is the legally necessary precursor to the government’s assistance to the Biden-Harris Presidential Transition Team. It releases $6.3 million dollars to the team, which is funded by public and private money; a loan of expanded federal office space and equipment; access to government agencies that will begin sharing information and records about ongoing activities, plans and vulnerabilities; national security briefings for the president; and other support.
  • The Office of the Director of National Intelligence recently confirmed that it is not providing national security briefings to the president-elect. The Defense Department has also reportedly indicated that it will not meet with the Biden-Harris transition team until Murphy formally affirms the apparent winner.
One of the officials fired in Trump’s latest purge was helping prepare for the transition to the new administration. USAID Deputy Administrator Bonnie Glick was removed abruptly to make way for a Trump loyalist after she had been supportive of transition planning, including the preparation of a 440-page manual for the next administration.
The GSA’s refusal to enact the transition has locked Biden’s team out of crucial Covid-19 pandemic data and government agency contacts. The president-elect’s Covid-19 task force has been trying to work around the federal government by connecting with governors and the health community.
  • The head of Operation Warp Speed, Moncef Slaoui, called on the White House to allow contact with the Biden team, saying “It is a matter of life and death for thousands of people.”
White House’s Office of Management and Budget is considering 145 new regulations and other policy changes they could enact before Biden’s inauguration - rules that will be challenging to undo once they are finalized. Critics and supporters of the administration say they expect a final burst of regulations to be finalized in the weeks before Jan. 20.
The rules under development include policies that the incoming Biden administration would probably oppose, such as new caps on the length of foreign student visas; restrictions on the Environmental Protection Agency’s use of scientific research; limits on the EPA’s consideration of the benefits of regulating air pollutants; and a change that would make it easier for companies to treat workers as independent contractors, rather than employees with more robust wage protections.
Last week, both Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said they’re preparing for a second Trump term. “There will be a smooth transition to a second Trump administration,” Pompeo said during a news conference Tuesday afternoon (clip). Pompeo then doubled down on Fox News (clip). “We are moving forward here at the White House under the assumption there will be a second Trump term,” Navarro said on Fox Business Friday (clip).

DOJ interference

Attorney General William Barr stopped career prosecutors in DOJ’s Public Integrity Section from investigating whether President Trump broke any laws related to his conduct with Ukraine last year. The section was initially given the green light to pursue “a potentially explosive inquiry” into Trump, but after the Senate acquitted the president during impeachment proceedings, Barr sent the case to the U.S. attorney’s office in Brooklyn.
Prosecutors in DOJ’s Public Integrity Section were also prevented from bringing charges against former interior secretary Ryan Zinke by political appointees atop the Justice Department. Deputy Attorney General Jeffrey Rosen told prosecutors that they needed to gather more evidence and refine the case against Zinke for lying to Interior investigators.
  • The investigation into Zinke stemmed from his decision to block two Native American tribes—the Mashantucket Pequot and Mohegan—from opening a casino in Connecticut. Zinke’s office had been lobbied heavily by MGM Resorts International, which had been planning to open its own casino very close to where the tribes intended to break ground.
Sixteen assistant U.S. attorneys specially assigned to monitor malfeasance in the 2020 election urged Barr on Friday to rescind his memo allowing election-fraud investigations before results are certified. "It was developed and announced without consulting non-partisan career professionals in the field and at the Department. Finally, the timing of the Memorandum's release thrusts career prosecutors into partisan politics," the prosecutors wrote.
An internal Justice Department investigation found that federal prosecutors who oversaw a controversial non-prosecution deal with Jeffrey Epstein in 2008 exercised “poor judgment” but did not break the law. “They just say he used poor judgment, and that's their way of basically letting everyone off the hook while offering some sort of an olive branch to the victims that we acknowledge weren't treated perfectly,” said Brad Edwards, who sued the DOJ in 2008 on behalf of Epstein accusers.

Immigration news

Eastern District of New York Judge Nicholas Garaufis (Clinton-appointee) ruled that Chad Wolf was not legally serving as acting Homeland Security secretary when he signed rules limiting DACA program applications and renewals. Therefore, in a win for Dreamers and immigration activists, Garaufis said the changes were invalid.
The judge described an illegitimate shuffling of leadership chairs at the Department of Homeland Security, the agency responsible for immigration enforcement, for the predicament of Wolf's leadership and that of his predecessor, Kevin McAleenan.
"Based on the plain text of the operative order of succession," Garaufis wrote in the Saturday ruling, "neither Mr. McAleenan nor, in turn, Mr. Wolf, possessed statutory authority to serve as Acting Secretary. Therefore the Wolf Memorandum was not an exercise of legal authority."
  • There's a renewed push to get Chad Wolf confirmed as Homeland Security secretary -- a position in which he's been serving in an acting capacity for a yearr -- before Inauguration Day. In the past week, Homeland Security officials spoke to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's office about bringing the nomination to a floor vote in the coming weeks.
Within the last six months, as the coronavirus pandemic gripped the US, the Trump administration filed 75 lawsuits to seize private land along the US-Mexico border for the border wall." People right now are having to choose between their health and their homes," said Ricky Garza, a staff attorney at the Texas Civil Rights Project, a legal advocacy group.
After a series of price increases, Trump’s border project will cost taxpayers $20 million per mile of border fence. A review of federal spending data shows more than 200 contract modifications, at times awarded within just weeks or months after the original contracts, have increased the cost of the border wall project by billions of dollars since late 2017.
DHS has expelled unaccompanied immigrant children from the US border more than 13,000 times since March, using the coronavirus as an excuse to deny children their right to asylum. Previously, unaccompanied children were sent to government-run shelters as they attempted to pursue their asylum cases.
Migrant children from Central America are being expelled to Mexico, where they have no family connections. The expulsions not only put children in danger - the policy violates a diplomatic agreement with Mexico that only Mexican children and others who had adult supervision could be pushed back into Mexico after attempting to cross the border.
The House Judiciary Committee released a report on the Trump administration’s policy of separating families at the border, revealing that the federal agency that cares for migrant children was not told about the policy. The chaos contributed to the inability to later reunite parents and children.
The Trump administration is trying to deport several women who allege they were mistreated by a Georgia gynecologist at an immigration detention center. Hours after one detained woman spoke to federal investigators about forced hysterectomies at a Georgia detention center, she said ICE told her that it had lifted a hold on her deportation and she faced “imminent” removal. Six former patients who complained about Dr. Mahendra Amin had already been deported.
Northern District of Illinois Judge Gary Feinerman (Obama-appointee) blocked a key Trump administration policy that allowed officials to deny green cards to immigrants who might need public assistance Advocates who had feared that the policy would harm tens of thousands of poor people, particularly those affected by widespread job loss because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Miscellaneous

Microsoft said it has detected attempts by state-backed Russian and North Korean hackers to steal valuable data from leading pharmaceutical companies and vaccine researchers. “Among the targets, the majority are vaccine makers that have COVID-19 vaccines in various stages of clinical trials.”
Two census takers told The AP that their supervisors pressured them to enter false information into a computer system about homes they had not visited so they could close cases during the waning days of the once-a-decade national headcount.
The Supreme Court on Tuesday signaled it’s unlikely to tear down Obamacare over a Republican-backed lawsuit challenging the landmark health care law. Chief Justice John Roberts and Trump appointee Justice Brett Kavanaugh strongly questioned whether the elimination of the mandate penalty made the rest of the law invalid. Kavanaugh appeared to signal on several occasions that he favored leaving the rest of the law intact if the mandate is struck.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) was sued last week by four whistleblowers claiming that he abused his office to benefit himself, a woman with whom he was said to have had an affair, and the wealthy donor who employs her before retaliating against the members of his staff who reported him to the FBI.
The Trump administration is rushing plans to auction drilling rights in the U.S. Arctic National Wildlife Refuge before the inauguration of Biden, who has vowed to block oil exploration in the rugged Alaska wilderness. Biden’s efforts could be complicated if the Trump administration sells drilling rights first. Formally issued oil and gas leases on federal land are government contracts that can’t be easily yanked.
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