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Sep/18/2020 news: \\ Russian dossier: Kremlin's anti-Pashinyan agents \\ polls: bribery encounter, business investments \\ officials & bribers busted \\ Tsarukyan's workers upset \\ anti-vaxx story \\ Armenian Stock Exchange \\ border villages \\ archaeologists \\ ARM-GEO deal \\ MFA \\ meat for RUS

dossier: Kremlin's interference in neighboring countries / beard man bad

Russian opposition figure Mikhail Khodorkovsky's "dossier.center" published a report, allegedly obtained from a Russian govt official, which talks about Kremlin's tactics and agents in Armenia and Azerbaijan.
 
The Dossier report says: Russian official Chernov is tasked with gathering information, working with Kremlin-allied figures in Armenia, and spreading propaganda. He created a network of open and secret pro-Russian figures. They work in every branch of the Armenian govt.
Chernov's people refer to Nikol Pashinyan as "George Soros's puppet". (amateurs lol) They refer to him as "The Beard" and placed him under close watch since the revolution days.
 
Chernov doubts that Pashinyan wants to stay in CSTO and EAEU blocs. "He disrespected CSTO by arresting its leader Yuri Khachaturov [March 1st suspect]".
"The Beard didn't even attend the 75th anniversary of the WW2 victory parade." [COVID related]
"Pro-American figures came to power under his watch."
 
The report states that Armenian NSS is essentially part of Russian KGB and they aren't afraid of "declassifications". Ex-NSS chief Karlos Petrosyan moved to Russia after retirement and was given a mansion at the orders of Vladimir Putin.
Some of Chernov's [secret] team members are Colonel Dmitri Avanesov, who sends instructions to Public Councilman Aram Safaryan.
 
BHK leader Tsarukyan is also mentioned as a "frequent guest" who signed an alliance with Putin's United Russia party in 2019. The report also mentions how then-journalist Pashinyan accused Tsarukyan of blowing up his car in 2004 and how they became brief allies in 2018.
 
Some of the "friends" include former PM Hovik Abrahamyan, Khosrov Harutyunyan, Vardan Ayvazyan, Hovhannes Margaryan, Tigran Urikhanyan, Hayk Babukhanyan. //
 
The report also mentions a Russian agent who wrote "Misha told me that neutralizing Pashinyan was impossible until August-2018, but now tougher scenario will be used". The identity of "Misha" is unknown.
This is likely around the time when the former regime tried shenanigans by drafting an Anti-Revolution bill (supported by BKH, HHK, ARF) to prevent the dismissal of Parliament and new elections in late-2018.
 
A Russian agent also notes that an agent nicknamed "Candidate" is also sending reports about Pashinyan to Kremlin official Chernov. The identity of "Candidate" is also unclear.
 
Ruling QP MP Hrachya Hakobyan (Pashinyan's brother-in-law): // our government will neutralize traitors who serve the interests of other countries. The public should not support such figures. We must defend Armenia's interests. //
The MP later hinted that the Russian agent nicknamed "Candidate" is ex-NSS chief Arthur Vanetsyan.
Full: https://dossier.centeazerb/
More: https://youtu.be/W0zHNRX1ezM
https://youtu.be/AlEQnFz1hfI
https://factor.am/284846.html
https://factor.am/284865.html https://www.lragir.am/2020/09/18/579727/
https://news.am/arm/news/602838.html
Tags: #RussianDossier #BeardManBad #Amateur #ComplainingAboutGeorgeSorosForHisSupportForDemocracyInArmeniaWhichHasBroughtManyGoodThingsForYourAlliedNationMakesYouLookStupidInCaseYouHaventFiguredItOutByNowThatsAFreeAdviceFromMeYoureWelcomeVlad

Poll: businesses are more likely to invest due to recent anti-corruption / stats comparison

Economy Ministry says the World Bank conducted a survey among 546 businesses in June and the results show that the ongoing corruption fight has increased the chances of investments.
 
Only 1.4% of businesses said they encountered corruption in Armenia. 9% in Europe, 16% in Central Asia, and 16% Worldwide said the same.
 
0% of businesses had to give "gifts" or have friends in the govt to win contract auctions in Armenia. In Europa/Asia it's 10%, and worldwide is 24%.
 
1% of construction businesses said they felt obligated to give a gift to receive a construction permit. It's 12% in Europe/Asia and 21% worldwide.
 
12% said the taxes were too high. 19% said the same in Europe/Asia, and 12% worldwide.
 
The speed at which you can launch a business in Armenia is "multiple times faster than in Europe and Central Asia."
 
Access to financing, lack of staff retraining, poor infrastructure remain the biggest issues.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028153.html

NSS charges 21 corrupt officials and bribe-givers

The report says: between 2017-2019, the chief of Shirak's food inspection department and 6 of his subordinates took bribes from several businesses to ignore the safety violations. A felony case is launched against 21 bribe-takers and givers.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028111.html

Amasia health canter director is busted

... with allegedly hiring a family member as a fake employee between 2010-2018 and embezzling $9,000 in salaries.
A felony case is launched. https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196058

BHK Tsarukyan's workers revolt? / Rally attendance

BHK leader Tsarukyan held a rally in Vedi, Ararat yesterday. Insiders reveal that despite his pressure to force his AraratCement factory workers to attend, most had refused.
An anonymous worker claims that when they were told to attend the rally, a widespread dissatisfaction ensued and workers boycotted. Only 100 had agreed, and along their families, they were transported with vehicles to the Vedi rally.
 
Despite his business empire and local connections with Ararat officials, they only gathered 500 people, three times less than what they anticipated, writes the outlet.
"It's a grape collection season and farmers are facing difficulties. He could have spoken about these issues but chose other topics [language, church, and traditional values?]."
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196090

hospital denies anti-vaxxers' blindness theory

Gardasil HPV vaccine opponents spread rumors that the recent blindness of a teenage girl was due to the Gardasil vaccine she took (it's mean to prevent a sexual disease that causes cancer).
 
The hospital called it fake news and said: // there was no blindness. The 17yo girl took the vaccine. The next day her mother complained that she was having vision problems but she didn't visit a clinic.
Doctors managed to convince her to take tests 5 days later, to see if it was an optic nerve problem. Tests ruled out that theory.
The ophthalmologist then discovered a common short-sightedness that is correctable with glasses and is not caused by neurological issues. //
Gardasil GAVe mE 400 CreDit scOre at ExPerian PlEasE reFund aNd maNager PleasSe
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196042

the third Constitutional Court judge takes the oath

He was late from the other two because he had to quit his old job first.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028064.html , https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028087.html

Armenian Stock Exchange

Polish Stock Exchange wants to purchase 65% of the Armenian Stock Exchange which has a total value of $1.6m, says the Central Bank, which currently owns 90% of shares. They are ready to study the offer.
If approved, the Polish Exchange would invest in a 5-year development plan.
"Polish Exchange is the largest in Central and Eastern Europe and we see a great opportunity for the development of Armenian capital market," said Central Bank.
More: https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028109.html

Tavush Battles: new houses for border villagers

A family of 10 in bordering Chinari lost their home and the adjacent bakery when Azerbaijan used large-caliber artillery to target the civilian houses. The family will soon have a new 7-bedroom house. The $133,000 building will also have a bomb shelter.
Photos: https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028123.html
 
Most of the damaged houses in bordering Aygepar have been renovated. Photo & video: https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028136.html

Russian MFA commented...

... on Lebanese-Armenians moving to Artsakh. "We don't care, let's focus on resolving the conflict" is basically what the MFA said. AZE had earlier raised complaints.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028040.html

Armenia and Georgia sign an agreement

... to exchange customs clearance data when a truck belonging to a large business crosses the border.
http://arka.am/en/news/business/armenian_parliament_ratifies_agreement_with_georgia_on_customs_cargo_inspection_data/

Armenian embassy in Israel

... has officially opened its doors. The ambassador congratulated Jews with Rosh Hashanah (new year), the second most important Jewish holiday after Yom Kippur.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028117.html

California governor Newsom

... responded to an arson attack on a building adjacent to an Armenian church in San Francisco:
"I’ve experienced so many wonderful, moving moments in this church. Heartbroken to hear of this -- but I know this community lives well beyond these physical walls and will continue to provide the hope and faith it does to so many."
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028167.html

Azure Stack in Armenia

Viva ISP signed an agreement with Microsoft to bring Azure Stack on Viva's cloud to Armenian businesses. Businesses will be able to process data in Armenia and save resources with the help of technology.
"It's the first such agreement in South Caucasus."
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196054

the visa regime with EU / readmission

Although this is not required on paper to relax the visa system with the EU, Armenia can help the process by having a proper migration system that accepts back Armenian citizens from EU states.
Armenia signed a "go back to where you came from" readmission agreement with Bulgaria. It was approved by the Constitutional Court.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028078.html , https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028139.html

Smallpox gone? / Armenia wants to resume meat exports to Russia

Meat export to Russia was suspended by Russian regulators in 2016 after a mass smallpox outbreak among the Armenian cattle population.
Armenia informed Russia about safety steps taken in recent times, the development of labs, vaccines, etc.
 
Armenia submitted the smallpox results to the World Organization for Animal Health to remove the country from the smallpox list.
The list of Armenian locations where the disease is found will be given to Russia so they'll whitelist the rest, hopes the Armenian side.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028137.html

infrastructure upgrades

They are actually using tuf stone instead of asphalt? Artik's 0.5km road will be based on tuf tiles.
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196129
 
The renovation of the tourist road leading to Clear Lake is almost complete.
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196050
 
3 roads in Qarakert will soon have 6.5km asphalt to serve 15,000 locals reduce vehicle repair expenditures.
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196038
 
Jraber will have a new 3.5km freshwater pipeline.
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196037

COVID stats

+3,769 tested. +239 infected. +138 healed. +1 death. 3330 active. 255,927 tested.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028074.html

Gyumri mayor tests positive

Mayor Balasanyan is recovering from COVID at home. The deputy mayor is also infected. 26 other city officials tested negative.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028114.html

wine consumption was down 60%

...during the March-July pandemic. Exports are -20%. "Wine is a leisure drink, not a necessity. All restaurants were closed and internal consumption was down."
The consumption began increasing after July, however.
In 2019, 30% of Armenian wine was exported, 60% consumed locally, and 10% reserved.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028098.html

more flights to resume

Qatar Airways will resume flights with Armenia on October 5th.
The RUS ambassador said they're still monitoring COVID in RUS and ARM and will resume flights when it gets better. "Emergency flights have helped some to travel to RUS recently."
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028105.html , https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028116.html

mobile mammogram reaches Vanadzor

The Healthcare Ministry recently purchased a trailer equipped with breast cancer tech. It provides free screening to 50-69yo women. Its next stop is Vanadzor, followed by other Lori settlements.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028131.html

Tourism in Artsakh

30-minute documentary: https://youtu.be/iaZVwAdL3YU

Mozart visits Armenia for a tour

The "red bus" will make a stop in Yerevan on September 23rd. Its passenger is the world-famed composer Mozart (yes, the kid who wrote your funeral music).
Armenian national philharmonic and LOFT will perform a one of a kind "Mozart is in the town" performance which fuses the composers' various pieces together and mixes it with urbanist art.
There will be other performances. Entrance fee $4.
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196073

archeologists discover pottery, tombs, and inscription

Excavations were done near Tavushi Berd castle located in Berd city in Tavush (very original naming). It was coordinated by PM's office which received offers to build guest houses to develop tourism near the sight.
In 1989 they found an inscription on the adjacent church which revealed that it's called St. Astvatsatsin and was built in 1019.
New artifacts were found with more inscriptions. Dig, clean, rinse, repeat.
Photos: https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028156.html
https://www.armtimes.com/hy/article/196040

It's that time of the week again!

Top-5 bestseller translated books read by Yerevan residents in August:
5) Fahrenheit 451, by Ray Bradbury.
4) The Bastard of Istanbul, by Elif Shafak.
3) Norwegian Wood, by Haruki Murakami.
2) Manon Lescaut, by Antoine Prévost.
1) Ոսկե հորթը (Golden Calf), by Ilya Ilf and Evgeny Petrov.
https://armenpress.am/arm/news/1028016.html
 
You've read 1914 words.

Disclaimer & Terminology

1) The accused are innocent until proven guilty in the court of law, even if they sound guilty.
2) Currency in Armenian ֏ unless specified otherwise.
3) NSS/SIS/SOC = law enforcement agencies. QP = Civil Contract Party. LHK = Bright Armenia Party. BHK = Prosperous Armenia Party. HHK = Republican Party. ARF = Armenian Revolutionary Federation Party
4) ARCHIVE of older posts by Idontknowmuch: PART 1 ; PART 2 ; PART 3 ; PART 4 ; PART 5.
5) ARCHIVE of older posts by Armeniapedia.
submitted by ar_david_hh to armenia

6

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning October 26th, 2020

Good Saturday morning to all of you here on smallstreetbets. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.
Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning October 26th, 2020.

There’s a big week ahead for the market with an earnings deluge, GDP data and stimulus negotiations - (Source)

About a third of the S&P 500 companies report earnings, including Apple and Microsoft, but uncertainty around stimulus and the presidential election could loom larger for markets in the week ahead.
There is also important economic data on the calendar, with a first look at third-quarter gross domestic product Thursday. After the second quarter’s shocking 31.4% decline following coronavirus shutdowns, the economy bounced back with growth of 32.5% expected in the third quarter, according to Refinitiv.
Nearly 170 companies report earnings in the coming week, with a diverse group of blue chips among them, including Boeing, Caterpillar, Honeywell, and Merck. There is also a big showing from large tech names. Microsoft reports Tuesday, and Apple, Amazon, Alphabet and Facebook all report in a small window just after the market close on Thursday.
“For some of these stocks that have run a long way, the bar for those stock to respond to good earnings is higher,” said Julian Emanuel, head of equities and derivative strategy at BTIG.
So far about 85% of S&P companies that have reported earnings beat estimates, about 20 percentage points more than the long term average. Companies have been reporting earnings more than 16% above estimates, and the expectation is that earnings overall will be down about 18%, based on actual results and forecasts, according to I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv.
The Dow Jones Industrial average fell 0.95% for the week, breaking a 3-week win streak as coronavirus fiscal negotiations dragged on and tech shares declined.
“We’ve offered compromises, the speaker on a number of issues is still dug in,” said Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Friday. “If she wants to compromise, there will be a deal. But we’ve made lots of progress in lots of areas, but there’s still some significant areas that we’re working through.”
His comments knocked stocks down a bit midday Friday.
“It’s been a muted reaction to earnings overall,” said Leo Grohowski, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon Wealth Management. “So I’m disappointed, in a way, as a fundamentally focused chief investment officer, that the stimulus saga seems to be what it’s all about day in and day out, hour by hour. It’s the stimulus saga, the election looming and the Covid resurgence. Those three things have sort of made earnings a page four story.”
With a week to go before the Nov. 3 election, the market could be a bit more volatile, especially if the outcome looks increasingly less certain.
“The market is going to focus on the state of stimulus. It’s going to focus on whether the polls are tightening or widening with regard to the probability of having an unclear outcome, contested outcome or both,” said Emanuel.
Former vice president Joe Biden’s lead has narrowed slightly but he is still ahead in swing state polls.
“We are experiencing a little bit of the calm before the storm here. I do think we are going to get some 1%, 2% daily moves depending on the news...I think you could see a 3% to 5% down opening the following day [after the election] pretty easily,” said Grohowski. “I think the market has grown increasingly comfortable with a cleaner result, even if the cleaner result is an all blue result, which potentially would result in a higher tax regime.”
Strategists say the market began to focus more on the possibility of a Democratic sweep, where Democrats take the White House and Congress. That could mean a bigger stimulus package, and some strategists believe tax hikes would be delayed until the economy is on more solid ground.
“As we get closer to the election, we’re likely to see more volatility no matter what the outcome,” said Grohowski.
Emanuel said investors are not adequately hedged for an uncertain outcome. “Active managers have the most net long positions they’ve had in a number of years because they’re fearful of missing a year-end rally,” said Emanuel. “The options market in no way, shape or form is telling you people are hedged right here. The market is discounting a slight volatility, not expected to be persistent into year end.”
Emanuel said the options market indicates investors do expect some volatility but not through year end, as some investors began hedging for several months ago.
“What we see by and large is again the bump in volatility. It’s really only anticipating a 2% or 3% move in the market either way, after the election, and then the expectation is to likely moderate after that,” Emanuel said.
The final trading day of October is on Friday, so there could also be some added volatility as fund managers readjust their portfolios between bonds and stocks. In the past week, Treasury yields broke out of a four-month range. The 10-year yield rose above 0.80% for the first time since June, and while it could move higher, strategists expect its move to be contained.

This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Indices for this past week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)

Nasdaq vs. Dow Outperformance

You may not realize it, but while the Tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite is up a ridiculous 28% so far in 2020, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is still in the red on the year.
Below is a table showing the Dow and Nasdaq's annual percentage change since 1972 when the Nasdaq came into existence. Were the year to end now, the Nasdaq would be outperforming the Dow by 28.65 percentage points. This would be the third strongest outperformance for the Nasdaq on record and the strongest since 1999 when the spread was 60 percentage points!
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Below are all years since 1972 in which the Nasdaq outperformed the Dow by at least ten percentage points. The Nasdaq has posted an annual gain of 20%+ in seventeen different years, but never in a year when the Dow was in the red. Probably the year that most resembles 2020 in terms of the performance spread is 1979 when the Nasdaq rose 28.11% and the Dow rose just 4.19%. Following that year in 1980, both the Dow and Nasdaq surged again and the Nasdaq outperformed by another 18.9 percentage points.
Interestingly, of the twelve years where the Nasdaq outperformed the Dow by more than ten percentage points, the Nasdaq went on to beat the Dow again in the next year eleven out of twelve times. The only time we've seen the Nasdaq crumble versus the Dow in the following year was in 2000 after 1999's outperformance. In 1999, the Nasdaq beat the Dow by a humongous 60 percentage points. After that large gap, though, the Nasdaq ran out of gas in 2000 and underperformed the Dow by 33 percentage points when the Dot Com Bubble finally burst.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

Leading Indicators Show Slowing Pace of Economic Recovery

The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Beige Book presented qualitative data that suggested the pace of the economic recovery had been tapering, as we discussed in the LPL Research blog, Beige Book Shows Pace of Recovery is Moderating, but now we have quantitative data that is confirming the survey data. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) increased 0.7% month over month in September to beat Bloomberg consensus expectations of 0.6%, but slowed after rising 1.4% in August and 2% in July.
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the leading indicators are still growing, but at a slower rate than the blistering pace seen in the initial months after emerging from lockdowns.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
Growth in the LEI in September was primarily driven by the improvement in jobless claims, as well as continued strength in building permits for new private housing—a trend that matches the behavioral shifts to accommodate work from home conditions during the pandemic. The pullback in stock prices last month and manufacturers’ new orders were the lone detractors from the LEI in September.
“It comes as no surprise that growth began to level off after the surge over the summer, and the softer LEI print is suggesting the economy could be losing momentum heading into the fourth quarter,” said LPL Chief Investment Officer Burt White. “However, despite the slowing momentum, we still expect solid economic growth in Q4, just not quite at the same rate in Q3.”
The decline in manufacturers’ new orders is likely in relation to election uncertainty, which should prove transitory. However, the recent rise in COVID-19 cases in both Europe and the United States may cause business activity to slow, even if no additional lockdowns are mandated. As we head into the fourth quarter, we will continue to monitor real-time data for any additional clues about the pace of the economic recovery.

Halloween Trading Strategy: S&P 500 Up 85% of the Time

Next week provides a special short-term seasonal opportunity, one of the most consistent of the year. The last 4 trading days of October and the first 3 trading days of November have a stellar record the last 26 years. From the tables above & below:
  • Dow up 77% of the time, 20 of last 26 years, average gain 2.05%.
  • S&P up 85% of the time, 22 of last 26 years, average gain 2.11%.
  • NASDAQ up 85% of the time, 22 of last 26 years, average gain 2.67%.
  • Russell 2000 up 77% of the time, 20 of last 26 years, average gain 2.31%.
Many refer to our Best Six Months Tactical Seasonal Switching Strategy as the Halloween Indicator or Halloween Strategy and of course “Sell in May”. These catch phrases highlight our discovery that was first published in 1986 in the 1987 Stock Trader’s Almanac that most of the market’s gains have been made from October 31 to April 30, while the market tends to go sideways to down from May through October.
Recent market weakness has held off our Seasonal MACD Buy Signal so far, but it could trigger anytime now. Uncertainty abounds with surging covid-19 cases, a heated presidential election and persistently elevated unemployment. However, each day that passes is one day closer to a covid-19 vaccine. Interest rates are low and ample liquidity is available to support the market and the economy. Additional fiscal stimulus also appears to be coming soon. Debate continues on the amount, but both parties do appear to agree it is needed in one form or another.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

"Quitters"

Like an old pair of "quitters" that keep falling down because their elasticity is shot, the market has had its own trouble staying up over the last few trading days. Today isn't over yet, but if the S&P 500 finishes around current levels it will mark the fourth straight day of finishing down at least half of one percent from its intraday high. Compared to the three days before, today's pullback from an intraday high has actually been pretty mild up to this point. Following Monday's 2%+ decline from the intraday high shortly after the open, yesterday, the S&P 500 traded down close to 1% from its afternoon high. These two reversals followed Friday's late-day sell-off when the S&P 500 finished the day down 0.75% from its intraday high.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
While it's disheartening to see the market erasing early gains as the day goes on, it's helpful to put the last four trading days into perspective. Over the last 25 years, it hasn't been uncommon for the S&P 500 to finish the day down at least 0.5% from an intraday high for four days in a row. The current streak, if it holds, would be the 158th such streak of four or more days. That works out to more than six a year. There have also been a number of streaks that were much longer than the current one. In fact, it was only a month ago that the S&P 500 went 11 straight days of finishing the day down at least 0.5% from its intraday high, and besides that streak, there have been five other streaks that spanned ten or more trading days.
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October Optimism For Homebuilders

Given housing inventories remain historically low thanks to still strong demand, homebuilders have plenty to be optimistic about. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) has continued to show this strength as its monthly sentiment survey set a record high for the month of October. Back in August, the index tied the previous record level of 78 from December of 1998. Over the past two months, it has only raised that bar, coming in at 85 this month; 2 points above forecasts and last month's reading of 83.
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The rise in the index comes on broad strength across each of the sub-indices. Present Sales, Future Sales, and Traffic all matched or made record highs in October. The only sub-index that was not higher was for Traffic, though, it was unchanged at a record high.
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As for the look across each of the four US regions, the West and Northeast both saw sizeable upticks to new records, but sentiment in the Midwest and South were actually slightly lower. For the Northeast, this is the third record in a row. Meanwhile, the West's record high in October finally surpassed the prior high of 91 from October of 2005. Finally, even though sentiment fell in the Midwest and South, both remain at higher levels now than any month other than September's record highs.
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STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending October 23rd, 2020

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STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 10.25.20

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Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-
  • $AAPL
  • $AMZN
  • $MSFT
  • $AMD
  • $UPS
  • $FB
  • $SHOP
  • $BA
  • $HAS
  • $PFE
  • $SMPL
  • $MMM
  • $TWLO
  • $GE
  • $FSLY
  • $PINS
  • $NOK
  • $TWTR
  • $MRNA
  • $CHGG
  • $ETSY
  • $SAP
  • $CAT
  • $LGND
  • $FVRR
  • $SPOT
  • $GOOGL
  • $LLY
  • $GILD
  • $RTX
  • $TDOC
  • $OSTK
  • $V
  • $ATVI
  • $MA
  • $XOM
  • $ABBV
  • $HCA
  • $SHW
  • $F
  • $NVS
  • $NRZ
  • $MRK
(CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
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Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:

Monday 10.26.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Monday 10.26.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 10.27.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Tuesday 10.27.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

Wednesday 10.28.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

Wednesday 10.28.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

Thursday 10.29.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

Thursday 10.29.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

Friday 10.30.20 Before Market Open:

(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Friday 10.30.20 After Market Close:

(CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

Apple, Inc. $115.04

Apple, Inc. (AAPL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.69 per share on revenue of $63.72 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.80 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 76% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 77.23% with revenue decreasing by 0.50%. The stock has drifted lower by 72.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 27.7% above its 200 day moving average of $90.06. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, October 8, 2020 there was some notable buying of 84,327 contracts of the $140.00 call expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 6.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.9% move in recent quarters.

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Amazon.com, Inc. -

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $7.27 per share on revenue of $92.82 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $7.93 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 84% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 71.87% with revenue increasing by 32.64%. Short interest has decreased by 24.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 1.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 24.4% above its 200 day moving average of $2,576.07. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,419 contracts of the $3,300.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.

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Microsoft Corp. $216.23

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Tuesday, October 27, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.53 per share on revenue of $35.67 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.62 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.87% with revenue increasing by 7.91%. Short interest has decreased by 8.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 4.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 14.1% above its 200 day moving average of $189.52. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 96,053 contracts of the $250.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.3% move in recent quarters.

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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $81.96

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, October 27, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.35 per share on revenue of $2.56 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.37 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 80% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 94.44% with revenue increasing by 42.14%. Short interest has decreased by 43.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 8.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 34.7% above its 200 day moving average of $60.86. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 19,549 contracts of the $90.00 call expiring on Friday, October 30, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 9.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.9% move in recent quarters.

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United Parcel Service, Inc. $171.90

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Wednesday, October 28, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.82 per share on revenue of $19.95 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.01 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 12.08% with revenue increasing by 8.91%. Short interest has decreased by 57.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 24.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 42.1% above its 200 day moving average of $120.99. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, October 8, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,193 contracts of the $195.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters.

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Facebook Inc. $284.79

Facebook Inc. (FB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.92 per share on revenue of $19.64 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.03 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 9.43% with revenue increasing by 11.26%. Short interest has decreased by 16.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 11.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.9% above its 200 day moving average of $224.40. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 22,964 contracts of the $300.00 call expiring on Friday, October 30, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 7.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

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Shopify Inc. -

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, October 29, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.53 per share on revenue of $636.31 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.84 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 178.95% with revenue increasing by 62.93%. Short interest has decreased by 4.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 7.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 36.7% above its 200 day moving average of $750.62. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, October 20, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,056 contracts of the $950.00 put expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.8% move in recent quarters.

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Boeing Co. $167.36

Boeing Co. (BA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, October 28, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $2.23 per share on revenue of $14.56 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($2.01) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 20% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 253.79% with revenue decreasing by 27.13%. Short interest has decreased by 12.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 3.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 12.5% below its 200 day moving average of $191.18. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 16, 2020 there was some notable buying of 24,464 contracts of the $170.00 call and 12,348 contracts of the $170.00 put expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

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Hasbro, Inc. $92.00

Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Monday, October 26, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.67 per share on revenue of $1.78 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.72 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 9.24% with revenue increasing by 13.00%. Short interest has decreased by 6.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 22.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.6% above its 200 day moving average of $78.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,315 contracts of the $95.00 call expiring on Friday, October 30, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 9.3% move in recent quarters.

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Pfizer, Inc. $38.18

Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Tuesday, October 27, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.70 per share on revenue of $12.27 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.77 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 58% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 6.67% with revenue decreasing by 3.23%. The stock has drifted lower by 0.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 6.0% above its 200 day moving average of $36.03. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, October 13, 2020 there was some notable buying of 51,244 contracts of the $41.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.2% move in recent quarters.

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DISCUSS!

What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?
I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead smallstreetbets.
submitted by bigbear0083 to smallstreetbets